In the past decade, there has been a substantial increase of grid-feeding photovoltaic applications, thus raising the importance of solar electricity in the energy mix. This trend is expected to continue and may even increase. Apart from the high initial investment cost, the fluctuating nature of the solar resource raises particular insertion problems in electrical networks. Proper grid managing demands short- and long-time forecasting of solar power plant output.

Weather modeling and forecasting of PV systems operation is focused on this issue. Models for predicting the state of the sky, nowcasting solar irradiance and forecasting solar irradiation are studied and exemplified. Statistical as well as artificial intelligence methods are described. The efficiency of photovoltaic converters is assessed for any weather conditions.

Weather modeling and forecasting of PV systems operation is written for researchers, engineers, physicists and students interested in PV systems design and utilization.

Modeling
Nowcasting and Forecasting
PV Systems
Photovoltaic System Operation
Radiative Regime Stability
meteorology

• Front Matter
• The Future of the Energy Mix Paradigm
• Solar Radiation Measurements
• State of the Sky Assessment
• Stability of the Radiative Regime
• Modeling Solar Radiation at the Earth Surface
• Time Series Forecasting
• Fuzzy Logic Approaches
• Air Temperature-Based Models
• Outdoor Operation of PV Systems
• Forecasting the Power Output of PV Systems
• Perspectives
• Back Matter

, Physics Department, West University of Timisora, Timisora, Romania
Marius Paulescu, Eugenia Paulescu

, Department of Physics, West University of Timisora, Timisora, Romania
Paul Gravila

, Candida Oancea Institute, Polytechnic University of Bucharest, Bucharest, Romania
Viorel Badescu

Book Title
Weather Modeling and Forecasting of PV Systems Operation

Authors
Marius Paulescu, Eugenia Paulescu, Paul Gravila, Viorel Badescu

Series Title
Green Energy and Technology

DOI
https://doi.org/10.1007/978-1-4471-4649-0

Hardcover ISBN
978-1-4471-4648-3
Published: 05 November 2012

Softcover ISBN
978-1-4471-6098-4
Published: 14 December 2014

eBook ISBN
978-1-4471-4649-0
Published: 05 November 2012

Series ISSN
1865-3529

Series E-ISSN
1865-3537

Edition Number
1

Number of Pages
XVIII, 358

Topics
Energy Harvesting, Meteorology, Renewable and Green Energy, Monitoring/Environmental Analysis, Mathematical and Computational Engineering, Atmospheric Sciences